KYIV. UkraineGATE .12 . October .2022 | Ukraine News .
Russia is currently armed with a significant number of missiles with which it can attack Ukraine’s civilian infrastructure. However, mass attacks are not so easy to carry out on an ongoing basis, this requires preparation. Therefore, the missile terror of Ukrainians will continue, but the intensity of shelling in the near future will be less.
Details
“We must understand that these are Soviet reserves that have been created for a long time. But no one knows how many of them are there. Everything related to information about the storage and use of cruise missiles was classified because these missiles were intended to deliver nuclear munitions. Additionally, the problem is that they were distributed among different types of armed forces. They are both in aviation and in the naval forces, and could be at the disposal of strategic missile forces. In general, there may still be a lot of them, but you need to understand that everything has its own shelf life.
Therefore, it is impossible to say that all missiles are currently ready for use. In addition, each missile individually must pass certain test tests, calibration, to make sure that it will work. Since the beginning of the war, this is only the second massive attack. The first time they launched about 160 missiles, now – 84. That is, physically, they cannot do it very often. This is a complex technological process of preparation,” Grabsky said.
Whether massive attacks are expected in the near future – the expert notes that this is currently impossible. But in general, the rocket terror, which continues for the 8th month, will continue further.
Citation
“This process is continuous. But it’s one thing to launch 80 missiles a day, it’s another thing to launch 10. When a mass launch is carried out, the air defense system is not able to destroy all air targets. There is no such air defense system. But in order for 1 missile to hit the target, they need to fire at least two missiles, because now we are shooting down half. That is, now they are paying mass. But this mass can not be provided constantly. It is even economically unprofitable.
So can they launch 100 missiles tomorrow, for example? They can’t. Can they launch 10 missiles? Yes, quite. But if we shoot down 40 missiles during the day, then when launching 10 missiles, the probability of hitting the target becomes lower. But this does not mean that we should neglect the air alarm, because the probability of hitting still remains,” the expert said.
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As for whether the Russians will be able to use tactical nuclear weapons using cruise missiles, Grabsky believes that this probability is currently low. Theoretically, this is possible. However, first, russia has never tested and tested its nuclear weapons in its 30 years as a subject of international law. Secondly, the locations of the weapon are well known throughout the world. The process of preparing nuclear munitions for use cannot be hidden in the modern world, where monitoring is carried out by several means of intelligence, including intelligence. Therefore, in practice it will be difficult to do.
Recall
The Russian army attacked Ukraine 84 missiles and 24 drones in a massive October 10 strike, destroying 56 of them, including 10 kamikaze drones.
Source : Ukrgate
