Recently, the thesis about the scenario of the overthrow of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, which could affect the end of the war with Ukraine, has appeared in the media and in the discussions of world political scientists. In particular, the Western media reported that there was a “commotion” inside the Kremlin, Putin himself was sitting in a bunker, and for fear of death fired more than a thousand employees from the surrounding area. Anton Kuchukhidze, an international political scientist,
KYIV. UkraineGate , 29, April , 2022 | War News
The riot will not work
According to the political scientist, the possibility of overthrowing the dictator is just one of the scenarios that is especially “not worth pedaling.” This is justified by the fact that any, even the smallest revolt in Russia is brutally suppressed by the authorities. In addition, a key role is played by the electorate, 70-80% of which supports military action in Ukraine, calling it a “special operation” and ignoring the genocide of the Ukrainian people.
“Therefore, this wave of dissatisfaction has nothing to expect. Moreover, Russian propaganda works so well, and all these 20 years under the current Kremlin leader worked, that in principle, they taught the population to suffer and not go crazy for a stable life, stable prosperity, “- said Kuchukhidze.
Putin’s rule is based on Russian propaganda aimed at a disadvantaged contingent of the population. The dictator himself did not hide the real situation in the country.
“In 2015, German journalists came to him and asked many questions about the effect of sanctions on Russia, that it would lead to a economic downturn, and so on. He joked with the phrase “and when it was good to live on the move.” That is, people there do not want a successful, stable life in abundance. They are ready to suffer for greatness. These are the Russian political scientists who are smart and can think, they say. This was the main result of the propaganda work, ”the agency’s interlocutor explained.
Monetary decapitalization of the Kremlin
According to political analysts, the most realistic is the maximum decapitalization of the Kremlin.
“For them, it is clear that Russian oil and gas, Russian business, is the main income – hundreds of billions of dollars. And, of course, the West will impose these sanctions. Previously, even Germany said it was ready to give up Russian gas. They have an alternative, and so on. And it should be borne in mind that behind the Office of the President there is a group “Ermak – McFaul”, which monitors the effectiveness of sanctions. And one of the main sanctions in their joint document is the oil and gas embargo. There may be a real monetary decapitalization of the Kremlin leader. This will lead to a loss of influence, and so on, “Kuchukhidze said.
After all, only the weakening of the current Kremlin leader can lead to a reduction in his power, the expert said. He notes that the Russian oligarchy, although affected by sanctions, has no say in the Kremlin. The main role in the Russian establishment is actually shared by the triangle “Putin – his team of friends / classmates – the military / FSB”.
According to the expert, the loss of national money certainly decapitalizes not only Putin, but also two other influential actors.
Then there will be some agreements on the change of power, but before that they will go to the end and show that they are “big”, will intimidate the West, Ukraine. After all, you need to be prepared for anything. A coup can take a long time. But what needs to be done now is to systematically withdraw money, the monetary basis of these three main subjects of power, ”the political scientist summed up.
Let’s add
On April 19, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Mer said that an embargo on Russian oil at the European Union level was under development.
According to Politico, Brussels is working on a sixth package of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. It is expected to be presented to the European Union in the near future and will contain some form of ban on Russian oil imports.
Source: UkrGate
