KYIV, UkraineGate , 30 , May , 2022 | Economy
The decision of the European Union to suspend Nord Stream 1 would be timely. Moreover, Ukraine has the capacity to provide the necessary transit to European consumers. On this topic .
Path to stop
Thus, the interlocutor notes, the redirection of gas flows from Nord Stream-1 to the Ukrainian gas transportation system has been discussed before, after Germany’s decision to suspend Nord Stream-2.
To date, as far as I understand, this is either the first scenario – a reduction in daily gas pumping through Nord Stream – 1, or the second scenario, which is unlikely to be implemented – a complete halt to gas pumping through the North Stream. flow – 1 “, – says Bilyavsky.
If we talk about a complete halt to gas pumping through Nord Stream-1, the expert says, it can be implemented in two steps. The first step is to limit capacity and, accordingly, redirect it to the Ukrainian gas transportation system. Then – again, the power limit.
“In fact, a summit of the European Union is to take place, which will address the food and energy security of European countries. Therefore, I would not rule out that the outcome of the summit, in addition to changes in policy on imports of Russian oil, may be decisions on imports of Russian gas through Nord Stream – 1, – said the expert.
Ukraine and its capacities
“Do we have enough capacity? – Yes, we have sufficient capacity, including at the Sudja gas metering station, which is designed to receive at least 200 million cubic meters per day. m of natural gas. To date, approximately 50 million cubic meters are supplied through Sudzha. m, ie unused capacity – 150 million cubic meters. m. in fact, if we talk about the full load of “Suji”, it is equivalent to 6 billion cubic meters. m per month, or 70 billion cubic meters. m per year “, – says Bilyavsky.
According to him, in addition to “Sudzhi”, there are opportunities to receive natural gas through the main gas pipelines “Torzhok – Valley” and “Ivatsevichi – Valley” from Belarus – it is GVS “Kobrin” and “Mozyr”. It can also take up to about 12 million cubic meters. m per day. This may be additional capacity to receive gas that is redirected from Nord Stream-1, the expert said.
“So, today the Ukrainian gas transmission system is ready to receive through the border gas measuring stations almost the entire volume of gas currently transported through Nord Stream-1.” In fact, the decision of the European Commission and the relevant regulatory authorities would be more timely than ever. In my opinion, this would change the situation in Russia’s attitude, and it would be a kind of response, a strong response to the blackmail that the aggressor is demonstrating today, “he said.
In addition, according to Bilyavsky, any redirection of gas volumes from Nord Stream-1 to the Ukrainian gas transportation system will only help the GTS Operator to minimize the costs of operating the system. After all, in today’s situation, when there is a drop in daily volumes of Russian gas transportation to the European market, OGTSU is forced to turn on compressor stations that consume either electricity or natural gas.
“Therefore, naturally, if the load on the gas transmission system is increased, it will affect the unloading of gas pumping units, and thus – will reduce the use of resources needed for their work,” – said the interlocutor.
“I think the European Commission will decide one way or another to unload Nord Stream -1.” Most likely, again, it will take place in two steps. The first step is a partial capacity limitation. The second step is complete restriction. This can happen, for example, a partial restriction – in June, and a full restriction may occur in October, even on the eve of the heating season, regardless of the winter period that will follow. In my opinion, the factor of the winter season today, judging by the pace of gas injection into European storage facilities, is not terrible for the EU, ”the expert adds.
Context
The operator of the GTS of Ukraine and NJSC Naftogaz of Ukraine appealed to the competent authorities of Germany to suspend the work of Nord Stream-1.
According to Serhiy Makogon , Director General of the GTS Operator of Ukraine, Germany can unilaterally restrict the transportation of gas through Nord Stream-1 without the consent of Hungary or other countries. At the same time, before the introduction of a full embargo on gas, transit volumes to the EU should be directed to the Ukrainian route in order to increase security of gas supply to Europe and provide more reliable protection to Ukrainian gas transportation infrastructure, he said.
Source: Ukrgate
