KYIV. UkraineGate , 15 , June , 2022 | Political News.
U.S. intelligence analysts predict three possible scenarios for the development of military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine in the Donbas. The main two options are called, the third belongs to the category of “not excluded, but unlikely.” CNN writes about it .
Details
According to US intelligence analysts, Russia’s aggression against Ukraine is approaching a key point that will determine the further course of the war.
According to the first option, Russia can gradually achieve little success in the Donbass. This implies constant local offensives and possibly slow advance due to the predominance of artillery and personnel.
In the second scenario, the front line may remain stationary for months or even years. This could lead to huge casualties on both sides, and will pose an increased threat to the West from the growing crisis due to the depletion of the world economy.
In the third case, which politicians consider unlikely, Russian dictator Putin will still reconsider the immediate tasks of the “special operation” and declare victory, thus trying to minimize hostilities and losses.
Intelligence claims that Russia has lost up to a third of its ground forces, but will “try to succeed again without general mobilization”, which is considered a politically dangerous step for Putin.
The choice of further scenario, as indicated, is still up to Moscow, as Ukraine does not yet have sufficient resources for a large-scale counteroffensive in the Donbas.
However, the United States is “increasingly afraid that Putin will use the occupied part of Ukraine as a springboard for further progress.”
Addition
Pentagon Deputy Chief of Staff Colin Cole said Vladimir Putin probably still wants to seize most, if not all, of Ukraine.
Source: Ukrgate
